Northern Rock stems its losses

March 11th, 2010

Northern Rock’s results are out. The bank lost £383m last year, compared with £1.36bn in 2008, so it seems it is slowly getting back on a more stable footing. At the start of the year, the Rock was split into two, with savers’ money held by a so-called ‘good bank’, Northern Rock Plc, which will eventually be sold back to the private sector, with potential bidders, perhaps late this year, expected to include Yorkshire and Clydesdale bank owners NAB and Tesco. There is apparently no timescale for any sale though. “I have set no deadlines and there is no rush,” said chief executive Gary Hoffman, while acknowledging that informal talks have been held.

Hoffman, who joined from Barclays in 2008, is forgoing his £700,000 bonus, which he was due to receive for the better than expected performance of Northern Rock, echoing the decision of the heads of Barclays, Lloyds and RBS, who also ignored there bonuses in the wake of public anger over the high level of remuneration in the industry, especially so soon after the taxpayer bail out of the financial system. Hoffman still picked up £1.1m in pay and compensation though, in part covering the share options he lost when departing Barclays. His long-term incentive scheme will only pay out ‘big money’ after the bank returns to profit or is sold, the company asserted. Other Northern Rock staff shared a £13.4m bonus pot, reflecting the fact that the bank beat its targets on cutting losses at the firm. The Treasury has originally expected the bank to lose over £800m last year; the extra £500m saved is largely going back to the taxpayer. 

 

The bank said it had seen an increase in mortgage lending across 2009, while the amount of money people saved with the bank was largely unchanged. It added that the recession and higher unemployment levels meant the percentage of those borrowers more than three months in arrears with mortgages payments had risen to 4.28% by the end of the year – the equivalent of nearly 23,000 borrowers – compared with 2.25% a year earlier. This big jump in those defaulting on their home loans resulted in a rise in the Rock’s bad debts from £870m to £1.17bn. Most of the worst Together mortgages, which offered loans of up to 125% of a property’s vale will be left in the ‘bad back’ formed on 1 Jan 2010 though. The bank said its stock of repossessed properties fell to 2,061 by the end of last year, compared with 3,620 in 2008, reflecting a tolerant approach to repossessions.  

 

With the reporting round now over, it is clear to see that things are improving in the industry – notwithstanding the ongoing problems at Lloyds and RBS – but it will still be a while before the entire sector fully recovers and, of course, the industry will look very different to how it was before the crash in 2008. There is though, at last, light at the end of the tunnel.

 

• In other news, the government earlier announced that savers with money in the Northern Rock would lose the government’s 100% guarantee on their deposits from 24 May. The announcement last month re-confirmed though that savers will still benefit from the £50,000 guarantee available to all under the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS).  

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How are those 2010 predictions coming along?

March 2nd, 2010

As we enter the third month of the year and the novelty of a new decade, the teenies, begins to wear off I thought it might be nice to revisit some of the 2010 predictions for the year ahead that FST collected back in January. These predictions about the future of financial services, the economy, IT spending, technology and regulation appeared in the Jan-Feb 2010 print edition of FST, but for those of you that read the original article look again as there are a number of new predictions online that we just couldn’t squeeze into our packed print edition.   

Do you agree with some of the predictions, all of them, or only part of them, or do you violently disagree and think “no no no, that’s not where we’re heading at all”! Either way let me know as I’d love to get your feedback on this piece and where you think the industry is heading. Have any of the crystal ball gazers already hit the nail on the head for you – for instance, do you think Datamonitor’s analyst Daoud Fakhri is correct in believing that new entrants to the High Street banking market in the UK are unlikely to break the top five’s stranglehold or that Dr Klaus Wiener, chief economist at Generali Investments, is correct in stating investment grade corporate bonds will be the most attractive asset class in 2010? Get in contact with me via the reply function, on twitter, or at neil.ainger@fstech.co.uk.  

• See the 2010 predictions article HERE

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Take a look back at just how far we’ve come

February 11th, 2010

Sometimes it’s a good thing to stand still for a moment and look back upon the advances that have been made. I was reminded of this during the week when watching a BBC TV programme charting the rise of the World Wide Web over the past couple of decades since its invention. Called The Virtual Revolution and presented by the Guardian’s tech writer Aleks Krotoski, the show spoke to web inventor Tim Berners Lee, ardent social networker Stephen Fry, and many others to review the profound impact that the web has had on our personal and working lives. 

 

One of the most interesting programmes I saw when the show was repeated earlier this week was the episode on how commerce has colonised the web. Featuring interviews with Jeff Bezos (CEO of Amazon), Eric Schmidt from Google, Bill Gates, Martha Lane Fox, and many others it picked over the wreckage of the dot com bubble and showed how the model of ‘free’ services funded by advertising has come to dominate public offerings online. For financial institutions, of course, the dynamics of the web are different and the online banking model has instead been developed to allow cheaper delivery channels to be opened up, instead of the traditional branch network. International firms, such as SWIFT, have used it to deliver global standards, messaging, payment and securities servicing, while the web is also of course utilised internally by IT teams at banks and insurers as a collaboration tool to develop software or infrastructure. With cloud computing increasingly popular the uses, and revolutionary affect of the web, for businesses just continues to gather pace. The myriad of uses to which it is presently put just seems to grow and grow.

 

The episode entitled Enemy of the State should also be of interest to technologists out there as it highlighted the threat of state-sponsored cyber attacks against banks and other critical national infrastructure, even managing to track down the person who claims responsibility for masterminding the Estonian Cyberwar in 2007, which paralysed the country and its economy.

 

If you’d like take stock and review how we got to where we are today, and what the future might bring in terms of threats and opportunities, then you could do a lot worse then watch The Virtual Revolution. Of course, office idling is not a web invention, but it certainly hasn’t been helped by it, so make sure you do it on your on time or at least when someone isn’t looking… :-)  

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iPad launch – a gadget too far?

February 3rd, 2010

All the hoopla around the iPad launch and what it could do to revolutionise consumer behaviour and consequently how banks, insurers and others might seek to target them for marketing purposes, has got a little bit out of hand. Yes, Apple does have an enviable record for developing products that build new markets that didn’t exist before – just look at the iPod and iTunes – but I don’t think the iPad is going to demand a response from the financial services industry, at least not a specific one. Many of the online promotions, staff access concerns and other likely issues to crop up have already been addressed in the provision that financial institutions make for existing laptops.  

For an amusingly divergent view on the iPad see HERE  

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Will new bank regulations from Obama take us back to the future?

January 25th, 2010

The American President, Barack Obama is proposing major new curbs on the activities of banks to try to prevent future financial crises. He intends to restrict the size of banks and limit riskier trading practices by re-instating a modernised version of the famous Glass-Steagall Act from the 1930s that separated out investment banking from retail banking. Although the thinking is clearly a version of ‘back to the future’, with Obama saying banks shouldn’t be allowed to run hedge or private equity funds, or to make money from proprietary trading unrelated to serving customers, the detail is yet to be defined, so if the industry is facing Glass-Steagall II is yet to be revealed.  

President Obama’s plans are the most far-reaching yet to have arisen since the financial meltdown of October 2008. Sounding a tough note he said that the American taxpayer “would never again be held hostage by banks that are too big to fail”, when unveiling his proposals recently on 21 January. He added that he was ready for a “fight” with any banks prepared to lobby against tougher regulations. Stocks in the US banks most threatened by any ban on using retail deposits to speculate on the markets, such as JPMorganChase and BoA Merrill Lynch, fell sharply with initial falls of six and a half per cent and 6.2% respectively. UK banks that follow the same integrated model and potentially face a break-up, such as Barclays and RBS, also fell upon the news, especially when shadow Chancellor George Osbourne welcomed the proposals and indicated any potential future Conservative government would adopt the same policy.

Everyone is now awaiting the detail of Obama’s proposals to see just how proprietary trading is defined. This has lead the way in recent years in terms of innovation and technology spend as big institutions vied to put the fastest, best infrastructures in place to trade on the markets. If the regulations prove to be wholly then the ‘Volcker rule’ – named after the President’s advisor Paul Volcker, ex-chair of the Fed, could merely come to be seen as political posturing in the wake of the Democrats lose of a congressional seat in Massachusetts and as a reaction to the vast profits and $10 billion worth of bonuses unveiled by Goldman Sachs on the same day [21st Jan]. Any proposals also have to get past Congress as well, of course, which is not guaranteed any more with the loss of Obama’s absolute majority.

There does appear to be a trend here though with President’s Obama’s latest proposals following on from a $117 billion levy on banks announced earlier to recoup some of the bailout money spent rescuing the banks from collapse. It seems that the President wants to get tough with the financial services sector and the consequences for the UK and the world will be profound. It could prompt big US multi-national banks to move more of their operations to the City of London, although the UK’s special 50 per cent tax on bankers’ bonuses might deter such a move. Conversely, instead of fuelling further regulatory arbitrage Obama’s move could spur a further effort towards establishing an international consenus on regulation and putting a level playing field in place for all institutions globally.

 

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JPMC reports £2bn Q4 09 profits and hands out big bonuses

January 15th, 2010

JP Morgan Chase, one of Wall Street’s most august names, is reporting profits of £2 billion ($3.3bn) for the final quarter of 2009. That compares with $702m profits last year, when the financial crisis was still in full swing. The bank is also planning to pay $26.9bn in pay and bonuses, with its investment bankers due for big bonuses, with $9.3bn allocated to them.

 

Net revenues for the final quarter of 2009 at JPMC totalled $25.2bn - higher than a year ago but below the previous quarter’s, when government assistance for the markets was at its height. Total profits for the 2009 year were $11.7bn, the bank said, up from the $5.6bn it made in 2008, with $6.9bn made from investment banking alone – much of which was no doubt from dealing in the extensive government bonds and other support measures that have flooded the market recently.

 

For more please see here:

 

http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ONE/414341759×0x344208/e19957ae-9c36-4e7b-bd64-4d42e3ebd8e9/4Q09_Earnings_Press_Release_Final.pdf

 

http://www.jpmorganchase.com/corporate/Home/home.htm

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Welcome back all …& what’s been happening in our absence? (i.e. bank charges case dropped)

January 5th, 2010

I’d like to welcome everyone back after the Xmas break and wish you all a happy new year. For my first blog of 2010 I thought it might be an idea to highlight one of the big stories that was breaking over the Christmas period; traditionally a time when so-called ‘bad news’ stories are leaked in the hope that less attention will be paid than would normally be the case.

This year’s candidate story is, of course, the news that the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) decided to drop its investigation into the fairness of retail bank charges on 22 December, unfortunately after I’d left the office for the holiday season. The decision follows on from November’s surprise Supreme Court ruling that the OFT could not use part of the unfair contract regulations to decide if bank charges for unauthorised overdrafts, bounced cheques or the like were fair.  The OFT maintained that it still had “significant concerns” about the way High Street banks in the UK operate current accounts but it declined to pursue any other potential legal avenues on 22 December.

The long-running saga of ‘unfair bank charges’, which initially cost the banks hundreds of millions of pounds before a test case went to the High Court in 2007, thereby freezing any new claims until the fairness or otherwise of the charges was ascertained, now appears to be over. The banks’ talk of moving towards charging for current accounts, as is the case in many other countries, is now dead and the traditional approach of ‘free’ bank accounts with high charges for unauthorised moves, looks set to continue for the forseeable future. This approach has traditionally been very profitable for UK retail banks, so it is welcome news as they seek to repair capital bases which have, in many cases, been ravaged by the banking crisis of recent years.  

…Ooops, I’ve mentioned the banking crisis there haven’t I, when I promised myself that we’d reduce the mention of it in 2010 and look ahead to the future instead. Sorry, about that all! Reprimands and indeed any feedback is welcome either here on to me at neil.ainger@fstech.co.uk   

I hope you have a great 2010. Best wishes,
Neil Ainger, Editor of Financial Sector Technology (FST)

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Happy Xmas all & enjoy the holiday season

December 18th, 2009

Just a final blog from me before I break for the holiday season. Thanks to all of FST’s readers who followed us on to the blogosphere this year following our launch in summer 2009, and indeed those hardy souls who have followed us into tweet-land as well. Your on-going comments and feedback is welcome, whether about the blog or twitter sites, and I look forward to receiving it again in the New Year …all except the Russian spam that is ;-)

Have a great Christmas break all & season’s greetings. Best wishes,
Neil Ainger,
Editor of Financial Sector Technology (FST)

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Super-tax imposed on bankers’ bonuses

December 9th, 2009

As expected, the Chancellor, Alastair Darling, has unveiled a one-off ’super tax’ on bankers’ bonuses as part of his pre-Budget report (PBR) today. The new levy has been set at 50 per cent of any individual discretionary bonus paid above £25,000. The banks themselves, rather than the bankers, will have to pay, with Mr Darling obviously hoping that the move will persuade bosses from dipping into their bonus pools this year, as it would be very expensive to do so now.  

The new ‘one-year only’ tax will hit UK and international banks based here, so everyone from Barclays, to SocGen and JP Morgan will be affected. The City will no doubt be angry, claiming it will discourage banks from continuing to use London as a base for their international operations, but politically the Chancellor is justifying the move by citing the taxpayer support that banks have received since the financial crisis hit in autumn 2008. As he commented: “There is no bank which has not benefited, either directly or indirectly, from [government] help.”    

Other measures in the PBR included a 0.5 per cent rise in National Insurance for employers and staff and the cancellation of the planned 1p rise in corporation tax for 2010. The promise to halve the bulging deficit in the public finances by 2013 was also reiterated but whether the Labour party will still be in power next year to deliver on this is, of course, debatable.  

For now, the real interest will be in how the City responds – whether it takes this tax on the chin and hunkers down in the face of public anger over the bail-outs or comes out fighting. Watch this space…

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Banks to be hit by multi-billion pound windfall tax?

December 7th, 2009

Speculation is rife at the moment that the UK banking industry is facing a multi-billion pound windfall tax this Wednesday when the Chancellor, Alastair Darling, unveils his pre-Budget report (PBR). The move is thought to be in response to the recent row between the government and the directors of RBS who threatened to resign unless Mr Darling allowed them to offer their leading traders multi-billion pound bonuses in order to retain them.  

The threatened windfall tax is also an obvious political ploy to try and win favour with voters ahead of next year’s general election. The banking industry is public enemy number one at the moment after the bailout packages, following the crash of autumn 2008, saddled taxpayers with huge debts for the foreseeable future. Defending the industry from this tax or the so-called Tobin tax, which would take a small fee from every transaction undertaken by a bank (see earlier posts), will not be easy. We await Wednesday’s news with interest…

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